As you'll note from the chart, one of the steepest (and lengthiest) inversions of the 10-year/three-month yield curve in history led to a recession probability that peaked at north of 70% in 2023.

They tend to be cyclical, historically occurring every 6-7 years. The U.S. has had 14 official recessions since the Great Depression of 1929. The most recent recession was also the shortest on ...

“If the U.S. enters a recession this year, two of the biggest financial impacts the average American should be worried about are the cost of living and limited economic opportunities,” Razon sai ...

The Conference Board’s expectations index plunged to a 12-year low of 65.2 in March, far below the 80 threshold which typically indicates a looming recession, according to the Conference Board.

Is the U.S. economy headed for a recession? Stocks have plunged ... S&P 500 since the election A chart shows the S&P 500 since Election Day. It is now more than 7 percent below its last record ...

Meanwhile, betting markets have priced in higher odds of a 2025 recession in recent weeks. After years of navigating inflation, high interest rates, and economic uncertainty, the odds of the US ...