The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks its since inception. The model went 31-15 on top-rated picks in 2024. Anybody following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

The total for this Week 1 game opened at 43.5 and is currently being bet down to a consensus 42. Some sharp offshore books are even showing 41.5. Grabbing an Under 42.5 at -110 now is likely to close ahead of the market and should be a positive expected value wager by kickoff.